Botev Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
53%
-16.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
21%
+14.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.73
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
06.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-5
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Botev Plovdiv 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; CSKA 1948 Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 57% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 43%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.83 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 37%, draw 27%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 36%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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