Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.26
+2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.02.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
19.03.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Levski Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Sofia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 42% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 58%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 2.20 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 33%, draw 21%, Levski Sofia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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