Al Gharafa 2-1 Qatar SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.25/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.80
+26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.8 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Qatar SC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.49 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-2 HT 2-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
22.09.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
19.05.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATEK
20.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
17.08.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-4 HT 2-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
28.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
2-1
AWAY Qatar SC
2.34 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
197 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa nicked a narrow win over Qatar SC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 45% of the ball to Qatar SC's 55%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.34 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Gharafa's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.83 for Qatar SC.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

Al Gharafa 2-1 Qatar SC in the Qatar League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 60%, draw 20%, Qatar SC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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