Qatar SC 1-3 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.67/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.91
+7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
24.8 Crosses 27.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.36 xG 2.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATEK
20.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
17.08.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-4 HT 2-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
28.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-1 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
11.01.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 5-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
23.01.2022 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
1-3
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.69 xG 2.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
388 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa beat Qatar SC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Qatar SC had 52% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 48%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.69 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Qatar SC and 1.83 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Qatar SC 1-3 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 24%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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