Al Ahli 3-3 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Sep 2024

Al Ahli
3-3 HT 1-1
Al Arabi
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.72/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.29
-17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
13.6 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Al Ahli vs Al Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Arabi
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.96 xG 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
239 Passes 460
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
16.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
05.01.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Al Arabi couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahli and 1.67 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Al Ahli 3-3 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 27%, draw 24%, Al Arabi 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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