Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.32/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.33
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid III
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Majadahonda squeezed past Real Madrid III 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Rayo Majadahonda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 38% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 62%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III?

Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 40%, draw 30%, Real Madrid III 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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