Real Sociedad III 1-2 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.12/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.63
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.7 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
187 Passes 310
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
10.09.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
26.02.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
09.10.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past Real Sociedad III 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Deportivo Alaves II made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 47%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad III had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Real Sociedad III and 1.00 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Real Sociedad III 1-2 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 36%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves II 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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