Real Sociedad III 2-2 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 55%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.86
+9% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.09 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
200 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
26.02.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
09.10.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
2.27 xG 2.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
174 Passes 304
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III and Deportivo Alaves II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 40% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 60%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.27 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad III had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad III and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Real Sociedad III 2-2 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 32%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves II 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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