Llerenense 0-1 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llerenense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.18/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+8% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llerenense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Illescas
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Illescas 0-3 HT 0-1 Llerenense Llerenense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llerenense
0-1
AWAY Illescas
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Llerenense vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas nicked a narrow win over Llerenense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Illescas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Llerenense had 60% of the ball to Illescas's 40%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Llerenense vs Illescas?

Llerenense 0-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llerenense vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llerenense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Llerenense 36%, draw 28%, Illescas 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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