Penya Independent 2-1 Andratx — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Independent EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Andratx EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.68/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.26
-38% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Independent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Andratx
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Andratx Andratx 0-0 HT 0-0 Penya Independent İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Independent
2-1
AWAY Andratx
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penya Independent vs Andratx
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Independent nicked a narrow win over Andratx 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Penya Independent found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Penya Independent had 62% of the ball to Andratx's 38%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Penya Independent vs Andratx?

Penya Independent 2-1 Andratx in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Independent vs Andratx?

Before kick-off our model rated an Andratx win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Penya Independent 37%, draw 24%, Andratx 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Andratx) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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