Gernika 3-0 Valle Egües — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valle Egües EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.26/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
-21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valle Egües
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
6 Corners 6
09.09.2023 Valle Egües Valle Egües 0-1 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
3-0
AWAY Valle Egües
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Valle Egües
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika cruised past Valle Egües 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gernika as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Gernika had 58% of the ball to Valle Egües's 42%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Valle Egües?

Gernika 3-0 Valle Egües in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Valle Egües?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gernika 49%, draw 27%, Valle Egües 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gernika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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