Guijuelo 3-1 Cayon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cayon EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.32/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.53
+5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cayon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Cayon Cayon 1-2 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
3-1
AWAY Cayon
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Cayon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo beat Cayon 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Guijuelo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guijuelo had 53% of the ball to Cayon's 47%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Cayon?

Guijuelo 3-1 Cayon in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Cayon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 40%, draw 31%, Cayon 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guijuelo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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