Ciudad Real 0-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ciudad Real EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 48%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.71/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.51
-25% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +76%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
215 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ciudad Real
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marbella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 Marbella Marbella 3-1 HT 1-0 Ciudad Real Ciudad Real İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ciudad Real
0-1
AWAY Marbella
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ciudad Real vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella squeezed past Ciudad Real 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ciudad Real had 56% of the ball to Marbella's 44%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Ciudad Real vs Marbella?

Ciudad Real 0-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ciudad Real vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ciudad Real 27%, draw 30%, Marbella 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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