Real Aviles 2-2 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
0.95/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.06
-15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
19.11.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
25.03.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
06.11.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
2-2
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles and Rayo Cantabria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 35% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 65%, shots finished 7-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Real Aviles and 1.75 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Rayo Cantabria?

Real Aviles 2-2 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 35%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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