Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
1.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.90
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
25.03.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
06.11.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-1
AWAY Real Aviles
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria edged past Real Aviles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rayo Cantabria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 50% of the ball to Real Aviles's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 0.67 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles?

Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 33%, draw 28%, Real Aviles 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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