Illescas 1-2 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
0.71/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-2 HT 1-1 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
1-2
AWAY CD Guadalajara
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Illescas vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Illescas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; CD Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 48% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 52%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Illescas vs CD Guadalajara?

Illescas 1-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Illescas 38%, draw 32%, CD Guadalajara 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Illescas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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