Valencia II 4-2 Formentera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Formentera EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.55/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.26
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Formentera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.11.2023 Formentera Formentera 1-3 HT 0-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
15.01.2023 Formentera Formentera 0-1 HT 0-1 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
4-2
AWAY Formentera
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 16
12 Shots on Target 6
16 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Formentera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II saw off Formentera 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia II had 57% of the ball to Formentera's 43%, shots finished 23-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valencia II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valencia II and 0.50 for Formentera.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Formentera?

Valencia II 4-2 Formentera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Formentera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 46%, draw 25%, Formentera 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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