Estepona 1-1 El Palo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.5pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Palo EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.15/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.01
+37% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY El Palo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.11.2023 El Palo El Palo 0-2 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY El Palo
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs El Palo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and El Palo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 52% of the ball to El Palo's 48%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Estepona vs El Palo?

Estepona 1-1 El Palo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs El Palo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Estepona 48%, draw 29%, El Palo 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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