Juventus vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventus v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Bologna
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Juventus
İTA
3-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
Juventus 2-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus and Bologna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Juventus had 54% of the ball to Bologna's 46%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.01 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Juventus vs Bologna?
Juventus 2-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventus vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Juventus 49%, draw 25%, Bologna 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.