Sassuolo (K) 2-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.95/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.66
+28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
22.1 Crosses 11.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.09 xG 0.29
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
368 Passes 126
76% Pass Accuracy 52%
29 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
03.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.43 xG 0.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
247 Passes 184
67% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) nicked a narrow win over Napoli (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 54% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 46%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 0.50 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 48%, draw 28%, Napoli (K) 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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