A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.43/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.66
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
13.0 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Badalona (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.63 xG 2.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
491 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 4-1 HT 3-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-0
AWAY Badalona (K)
0.76 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
320 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) edged past Badalona (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day A. Bilbao (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 48% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 52%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.76 to 1.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Badalona (K).

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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