Bregenz 3-2 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.4
No
41%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.51
2-3
41%
2.02
4-5
27%
2.7
6+
11%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
2.98
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
19%
5.4
X/2
17%
6.7
X/X
14%
5.94
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
13%
4.01
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Bregenz The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II The Market 37%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.98 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.51
1.77 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.14
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
03.08.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-0 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
06.04.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 3-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
17.09.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
REVIEW Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bregenz found just enough to beat Sturm Graz II 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 26% / 39%); Bregenz picked one for it. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bregenz had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Bregenz against 1.00 for Sturm Graz II.

Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II Result & Final Score

Bregenz 3-2 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 35%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz II 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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