Sitra 0-2 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.33
+1% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
07.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
28.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.11.2022 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 2-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
21.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
0-2
AWAY Muharraq
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq saw off Sitra 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sitra had 51% of the ball to Muharraq's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sitra and 1.50 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Muharraq?

Sitra 0-2 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sitra 30%, draw 23%, Muharraq 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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