Muharraq 1-1 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
8%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.80/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.91
+9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sitra
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
07.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
28.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.11.2022 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 2-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
21.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq and Sitra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Muharraq and 1.20 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Sitra?

Muharraq 1-1 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 47%, draw 21%, Sitra 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5
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