Al Hala Muharraq 0-3 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
8.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 30% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.78/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-25% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hala Muharraq
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.02.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
07.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAHKK
13.03.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.12.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
21.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
13.01.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hala Muharraq
0-3
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama cruised past Al Hala Muharraq 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Manama as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Hala Muharraq had 49% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 51%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Hala Muharraq and 1.00 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Al Hala Muharraq 0-3 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Hala Muharraq 29%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Manama 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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