East Riffa 3-0 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.07
Over 2.5
36%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.56
No
59%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
15%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 36% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-9.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
44%
+19.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
56%
-19.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
60%
-18.8pp
59%
BTTS No
40%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.99
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
17.01.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 0-4 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAHK
03.04.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.12.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
23.04.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 0-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
05.03.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAHKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
3-0
AWAY Khalidiya
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa cruised past Khalidiya 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, East Riffa had 43% of the ball to Khalidiya's 57%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for East Riffa and 1.67 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Khalidiya?

East Riffa 3-0 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 24%, draw 33%, Khalidiya 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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