Al Hadd 2-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
34%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
8%
8.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
57%
-17.2pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.43/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.19
-21% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hadd
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Najma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 4-2 HT 0-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
21.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
16.09.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
30.04.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
09.12.2020 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
14.08.2020 Al Najma Al Najma 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
POST-MATCH Al Hadd vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hadd edged past Al Najma 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Al Hadd made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hadd and 1.67 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Hadd vs Al Najma?

Al Hadd 2-1 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 40%, draw 34%, Al Najma 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hadd), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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