Al Shabab Manama 3-2 Busaiteen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
7%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 20%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.13
+70% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +67%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Busaiteen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
03.09.2021 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-1 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAHFK
02.10.2020 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Busaiteen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama squeezed past Busaiteen 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Manama as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Busaiteen led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 1.00 for Busaiteen.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Busaiteen?

Al Shabab Manama 3-2 Busaiteen in the Bahrain - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Busaiteen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 53%, draw 25%, Busaiteen 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
19 May 2024
19:00 Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama Analysis →
19:00 East Riffa vs Khalidiya Analysis →
19:00 Muharraq vs Sitra Analysis →
19:00 Al Hadd vs Al Najma Analysis →