LDU Quito 3-0 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Dec 2024

LDU Quito
3-0 HT 1-0
Independiente Del Valle
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LDU Quito v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
0.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
14.9 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
234 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.12.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
28.05.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-3 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

LDU Quito 3-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
3-0
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.21 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
188 Passes 295
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito swept aside Independiente Del Valle 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; LDU Quito found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, LDU Quito had 41% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

LDU Quito 3-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 37%, draw 32%, Independiente Del Valle 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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