Angers 0-3 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Dec 2024

Angers
0-3 HT 0-1
Lyon
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Angers vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
30%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.3
1/X
7%
17.55
X/1
9%
11.9
X/2
11%
4.53
X/X
7%
6.73
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.21
2/X
10%
16.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.3 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angers v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 62%
-19% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.19/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.23
-20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
17.6 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Angers vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lyon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.41 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 480
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Angers Angers 1-3 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
03.09.2022 Lyon Lyon 5-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
03.04.2022 Lyon Lyon 3-2 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
15.08.2021 Angers Angers 3-0 HT 1-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
11.04.2021 Lyon Lyon 3-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FR1
22.11.2020 Angers Angers 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1

Angers 0-3 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-3
AWAY Lyon
0.63 xG 2.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
256 Passes 512
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Angers vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon cruised past Angers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Angers had 36% of the ball to Lyon's 64%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.63 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angers and 2.50 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Angers vs Lyon?

Angers 0-3 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Angers 28%, draw 24%, Lyon 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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