Monaco 2-0 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Dec 2024

Monaco
2-0 HT 0-0
Toulouse
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
12%
4.81
X/2
13%
9.02
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
6.58
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.62
-17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.0 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Monaco vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.29 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
410 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-2 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
20.12.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
03.06.2023 Monaco Monaco 1-2 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
06.11.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
04.12.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 1-2 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
02.02.2019 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Monaco 2-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
2-0
AWAY Toulouse
3.23 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
404 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco saw off Toulouse 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Monaco had 58% of the ball to Toulouse's 42%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.23 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monaco and 1.17 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco 2-0 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monaco 41%, draw 24%, Toulouse 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5
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