Nice 2-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Dec 2024

Nice
2-1 HT 0-0
Le Havre
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Nice vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.0
X/1
14%
4.22
X/2
9%
12.7
X/X
8%
5.74
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
10.35
2/X
9%
19.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.83/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.64
-17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.1 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Nice vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.84 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
494 Passes 304
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
16.12.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
30.05.2009 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
13.01.2009 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRLK
09.08.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
05.01.2008 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRK

Nice 2-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-1
AWAY Le Havre
2.03 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
336 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice edged past Le Havre 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nice had 51% of the ball to Le Havre's 49%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.03 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nice and 0.83 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Nice vs Le Havre?

Nice 2-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nice 50%, draw 25%, Le Havre 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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