Katwijk 2-2 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 7 Dec 2024

Katwijk
2-2 HT 1-0
ACV
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 16%
-17% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.95/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.79
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ACV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.05.2024 ACV 3-1 HT 2-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
09.12.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk and ACV couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Katwijk at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Katwijk and 1.50 for ACV.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs ACV?

Katwijk 2-2 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 60%, draw 19%, ACV 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5
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HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
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