Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paksi SE v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
1-1
HT 0-0
Paksi SE
MAC
4-0
HT 3-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
1-4
HT 1-2
Paksi SE
MAC
Paksi SE 4-2 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
Paksi SE got the better of MTK Budapest 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Paksi SE found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Paksi SE had 46% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 54%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.18 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paksi SE and 0.83 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE 4-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 39%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.