Nieciecza 3-2 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.73/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.92
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-4 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
18.02.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
05.08.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-5 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
04.03.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
11.08.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
19.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
3-2
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza squeezed past Chrobry Glogow 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 64% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 36%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nieciecza and 0.33 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow?

Nieciecza 3-2 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 58%, draw 24%, Chrobry Glogow 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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