Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.97
No Pick
55%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.38
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.57
6+
13%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.95
X/1
23%
3.58
X/2
5%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
5%
24.3
2/2
12%
10.45
2/X
7%
18.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Rakow Czestochowa The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin The Market 18%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.27
0.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.94
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.6 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.59 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
287 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
01.03.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-3 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2-2
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.12 xG 1.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
539 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa and Motor Lublin traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 1-1.

A gentle 53% lean on Rakow Czestochowa didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.49, about 67% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Rakow Czestochowa had 63% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 37%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.12 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.00 for Motor Lublin.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin Result & Final Score

Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Motor Lublin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 53%, draw 25%, Motor Lublin 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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