Motor Lublin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Jul 2024

Motor Lublin
0-2 HT 0-1
Rakow Czestochowa
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.97
1/2
9%
23.15
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
11%
9.95
X/2
11%
3.71
X/X
13%
5.43
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.08
2/X
5%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motor Lublin v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
223 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.8
– Crosses 25.7
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 29
2 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-3 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK

Motor Lublin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
0-2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.69 xG 1.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
267 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa got the better of Motor Lublin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 50% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 50%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Motor Lublin 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 28%, draw 24%, Rakow Czestochowa 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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