Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
0-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
1-2
HT 1-1
Lech Poznan
POL
0-2
HT 0-1
Lech Poznan
POLK
2-1
HT 1-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
Lech Poznan 2-0 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan beat Gornik Zabrze 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 49% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 51%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.67 for Gornik Zabrze.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?
Lech Poznan 2-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 43%, draw 30%, Gornik Zabrze 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan) — a clean sweep of the main markets.