Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.19
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.19
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
16%
5.48
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
12%
3.6
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.96
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.47/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.6 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
21.08.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
25.02.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
13.08.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
20.03.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
27.09.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-4 HT 1-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.23 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
367 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Piast Gliwice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 52% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 48%, shots finished 3-23, expected goals 1.23 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 39%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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