Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Mar 2024

Gornik Zabrze
0-0 HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.61
X/2
14%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.25
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.7
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.40
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.6 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
228 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
30.04.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
16.10.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-2 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
02.03.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POLK
19.12.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
30.07.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL

Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.76 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
410 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 52% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.67 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

Gornik Zabrze 0-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 36%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
9 Mar 2024
17:00 Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →
19:30 Puszcza Niepolomice vs Rakow Czestochowa Analysis →