Korona Kielce 1-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.11
X/2
7%
5.71
X/X
15%
3.85
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
20%
4.3
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.90
-25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
24.3 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
237 Passes 313
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.07.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
15.12.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
11.08.2019 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
02.04.2019 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.79 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
270 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Cracovia Krakow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 48% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.79 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.00 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Korona Kielce 1-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 37%, draw 30%, Cracovia Krakow 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Korona Kielce), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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