Leixoes 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.26/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.44
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +89%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.9 Crosses 10.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-2
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.05 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
344 Passes 24
78% Pass Accuracy 52%
12 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes and Felgueiras 1932 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes had 64% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 36%, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 1.05 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?

Leixoes 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 35%, draw 31%, Felgueiras 1932 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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