CD Feirense 3-0 Penafiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Penafiel EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.40/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
+10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Penafiel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2024 Penafiel Penafiel 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
20.08.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-0 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
08.04.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
23.10.2022 Penafiel Penafiel 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
24.04.2022 Penafiel Penafiel 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
11.12.2021 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-2 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
3-0
AWAY Penafiel
1.36 xG 0.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 262
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Penafiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense swept aside Penafiel 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day CD Feirense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 51% of the ball to Penafiel's 49%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.36 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Feirense and 1.17 for Penafiel.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Penafiel?

CD Feirense 3-0 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Penafiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 35%, draw 26%, Penafiel 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Penafiel), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penafiel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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