Benfica II 0-5 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -17%
1.57/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.16
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
468 Passes 256
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
0-5
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.51 xG 2.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria cruised past Benfica II 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica II had 52% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 48%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.51 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Benfica II and 2.00 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Benfica II 0-5 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 42%, draw 25%, Uniao De Leiria 33%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Benfica II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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