Makhachkala 2-3 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
40%
2.77
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
15%
7.45
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.4
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
22%
3.13
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.53
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
40%
Draw
32%
+7.2pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
0.80/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
-43% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.3 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.28 xG 3.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
213 Passes 365
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
27.05.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
06.11.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
2-3
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.21 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
251 Passes 167
66% Pass Accuracy 56%
21 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan edged past Makhachkala 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 40% / 27% — and on the day Rubin Kazan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Makhachkala had 55% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.21 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Makhachkala and 1.67 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan?

Makhachkala 2-3 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 33%, draw 40%, Rubin Kazan 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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