Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.94
2-3 Goals
38%
2.32
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.29
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
31.0
X/1
17%
3.64
X/2
4%
32.0
X/X
9%
12.15
2/1
10%
21.45
2/2
6%
22.55
2/X
5%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
81%
-17.5pp
22%
Draw
12%
+10.4pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.32/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.56
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -21%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
485 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.6 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
591 Passes 201
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Akron Akron 0-5 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.10.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-1 HT 3-0 Akron Akron RUK
27.08.2024 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-2
AWAY Akron
3.43 xG 0.42
78% Ball Possession 22%
30 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
571 Passes 120
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
81 Box Touches 8
54 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron edged past Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Zenit St. Petersburg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 78% of the ball to Akron's 22%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 3.43 to 0.42 — on chances, Zenit St. Petersburg could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for Akron.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 64%, draw 22%, Akron 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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