Rostov 3-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 32% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
24%
4.12
X/2
10%
9.63
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
11%
7.16
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.49
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
24.1 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 3-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
17.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
06.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
3-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
3.14 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
29 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
258 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov got the better of Krylya Sovetov 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 48% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 52%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 3.14 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rostov and 1.33 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Rostov 3-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rostov 47%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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