Livyi Bereh 3-1 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
34%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.83/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.73
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livyi Bereh
0W-2D-1L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-0 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
12.03.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
03.09.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-0 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
POST-MATCH Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livyi Bereh beat LNZ Cherkasy 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was LNZ Cherkasy at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, LNZ Cherkasy led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Livyi Bereh and 0.67 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Livyi Bereh 3-1 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated an LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Livyi Bereh 26%, draw 27%, LNZ Cherkasy 48%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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