Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.68
Over
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.65/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
210 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
03.08.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
20.04.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 1-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
08.10.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
27.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
23.04.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-3 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.12.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1-3
AWAY Kryvbas KR
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR saw off Chornomorets Odessa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.33 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 25%, draw 27%, Kryvbas KR 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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