Aris Saloniki 2-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.43
X/2
12%
7.35
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
14%
5.98
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.10/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.24
-36% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.8 Crosses 15.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
422 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-3 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
26.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
05.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
23.02.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-1
AWAY Atromitos
1.45 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
385 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Atromitos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Aris Saloniki made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 53% of the ball to Atromitos's 47%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.45 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.83 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos?

Aris Saloniki 2-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 36%, draw 29%, Atromitos 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
7 Dec 2024
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